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PDF Download Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models FREE
Super Thinking blogger.com - Free download Ebook, Handbook, Textbook, User Guide PDF files on the internet quickly and easily. SUPER THINKING Download Super Thinking ebook PDF or Read Online books in PDF, EPUB, and Mobi Format. Click Download or Read Online button to SUPER THINKING book pdf for free now. No matter where you are in life, Super Thinking is designed to help jump-start your super thinking journey and think/act effectively whenever you face a difficult decision or try to understand a complex situation. DOWNLOAD THE SUPER THINKING PDF FOR FREE! DOWNLOAD PDF.
Super thinking pdf download free
He co-authored Traction and Super Thinking. Before DuckDuckGo, he founded other Internet-related companies. Lauren McCann is a statistician and researcher. She spent nearly a decade in the pharmaceutical industry, where she designed and analysed clinical trials and published numerous articles in medical journals, such as the New England Journal of Medicine.
She holds a Ph. The world's greatest problem-solvers, forecasters, and decision-makers all rely on a set of frameworks and shortcuts that help them cut through complexity and separate good ideas from bad ones. Mental models are recurring concepts that you can use to quickly create a mental picture of a situation, which becomes a model that you can later apply in similar situations.
Every discipline, like physics, has its own set of mental models that people in the field learn through coursework, mentorship, and firsthand experience. However, there is a smaller set of mental models that are useful for people like you and me in general day-to-day decision-making, problem-solving, and truth-seeking. If you can understand the relevant mental models for a situation, then you can bypass lower-level thinking and immediately jump to higher-level thinking.
For this to happen, though, you must apply them at the right time and in the right context. Super Thinking is a toolbox that systematically lists, classifies, and explains all the important mental models across the major disciplines. Reading this summary and maybe later the full book is just the first step. You must develop your powers through repeated practice. The name of the mental model in bold, followed by a short explanation.
For more mental models and examples, please read the full book. Try arguing from first principles a group of self-evident assumptions that make up the foundation on which your conclusions restgetting to the root causes the real reason something happenedand seeking out the third story the story that a third, impartial observer would recount.
Realise that your intuitive interpretations of the world can often be wrong due to availability bias when information recently made available to you distort your objective view of realityfundamental attribution error e.
Then test your theories by de-risking to be wrong less, you need to be testing your assumptions in the real worldavoiding premature optimisation tweaking or perfecting something too early. Attempt to think gray the truth is not black or white, but somewhere in between, a shade of gray in an effort to consistently avoid confirmation bias interpreting new information in a biased way to confirm pre-existing beliefs.
Likewise, taking in a variety of perspectives will help you become a super thinker. In any situation where you can spot spillover effects the effect of an activity spills over outside the core interactions of the activity, like a polluting factorylook for an externality like bad health effects lurking nearby. Public goods like education are particularly susceptible to the tragedy of the commons like poor schools via the free rider problem like not paying taxes.
Beware of situations with asymmetric information one side of a transaction has different information than the other sideas they can lead to principal-agent problems the self-interest of the agent may lead to suboptimal results for the principal. Short-termism when you focus on short-term results over long-term results, not investing enough in the future can easily create disadvantageous path dependence your available set of decisions now is dependent on your past decisions ; to counteract it, think about preserving optionality make choices that preserve future options and keep in mind super thinking pdf download free precautionary principle when an action could possibly create harm, proceed with extreme caution.
Super thinking pdf download free activities to work on based on their relevance to your north star the guiding vision of a company or person. Focus your time on just one of these truly important activities at a time no multitasking!
Use commitment and the default effect scheduling default commitments toward your long-term goals to avoid present bias overvaluing near-term rewards over incremental progress on long-term goalsand periodic evaluations to avoid loss aversion getting more displeasure from losing than pleasure from gaining and the sunk-cost fallacy previous losses influencing you to make a bad decision now.
Look for shortcuts via existing design patterns reusable solutions to a problemtools, super thinking pdf download free, or clever algorithms. Consider whether you can reframe the problem, super thinking pdf download free.
Adopt an experimental mindset, looking for opportunities to run experiments and apply the scientific method wherever possible. Respect inertia any resistance to a change in direction : create or join healthy flywheels once something is spinning, super thinking pdf download free, it super thinking pdf download free little effort to keep it spinning ; avoid strategy taxes a long-term commitment with inertia to an organisational strategy, leading to suboptimal decisions and trying to enact change in high-inertia situations unless you have a tactical advantage such as super thinking pdf download free of a catalyst and a lot of potential energy stored energy waiting to be released, super thinking pdf download free.
Use forcing functions a pre-scheduled event that helps you to take a desired action to grease the wheels for change. Actively cultivate your luck surface area make your luck by meeting more people and finding more opportunities and put in work needed to not be subsumed by entropy too rigid life with few opportunities, super thinking pdf download free. When faced with what appears to be a zero-sum or black-and-white situation, look for additional options and ultimately for a win-win where both parties end up better off.
Anecdotal evidence informally collected evidence from personal stories and correlations you see in data are good hypothesis generators, but correlation does not imply causation — you still need to rely on well-designed experiments to draw strong conclusions. Always keep in mind that when dealing with uncertainty, the values you see reported or calculate yourself are uncertain themselves, super thinking pdf download free, and that you should seek out and report values with error bars a visual way to display a measure of uncertainty for an estimate!
When making any quantitative assessment, run a sensitivity analysis analysing how sensitive a model is to its input parameters across inputs to uncover key drivers and appreciate where you may need to seek greater accuracy in your assumptions.
Beware of black swan events extreme events which have significantly higher probabilities than you might initially expect and unknown unknowns. Use systems thinking when you attempt to think about the entire system at once and scenario analysis analysing different future scenarios that might unfold to more systematically uncover them and assess their impact.
For really complex systems or decision spaces, consider simulations to help you better assess what may happen under different scenarios. Watch out for blind spots that arise from groupthink a bias that emerges because groups tend to think in harmony.
Consider divergent trying to super thinking pdf download free thinking to diverge in order to discover multiple possible solutions and lateral thinking trying to get thinking to converge on one solution techniques when working with groups, including seeking more diverse points of view. Strive to understand the global optimum the best solution amongst all local optimums: good, but not great solutions in any system and look for decisions that move you closer to it.
Analyse conflict situations through a game-theory lens. Consider how you can convince others to join your side by being more persuasive through the use of influence models like reciprocity, super thinking pdf download free, commitment, liking, social proof, scarcity, and authority, super thinking pdf download free.
Think about how a situation is being framed and whether there is a way to frame it that better communicates your point of view, such as social norms the right thing to do, such as a favour versus market norms considering your own financial situation firstdistributive justice fairness around how things are being distributed versus procedural justice fairness around adherence to proceduresor an appeal to emotion influence by manipulation of emotions.
Try to avoid direct conflict because it can have uncertain consequences. Remember there are often alternatives that can lead to more productive outcomes. If diplomacy fails, consider deterrence using a threat to prevent an action by an adversary and containment an attempt to contain the enemy, to prevent its further expansion strategies. If a conflict situation is not in your favor, try to change the game, possibly using guerrilla warfare nimbler tactics of a smaller force that larger forces have trouble reacting to effectively and punching-above-your-weight purposefully performing at a higher level than is expected of you tactics.
Be aware of how generals always fight the last war using strategies, tactics, and technology that worked for them in the pastand know your best exit strategy coming up with a well-defined exit plan that will keep you from doing things you might later regret. People are not interchangeable. They come from a variety of backgrounds and with a varied set of personalities, strengths, and goals. Avoid the Peter principle by promoting people only to roles in which they can succeed, super thinking pdf download free.
Properly delineate roles and responsibilities using the model of DRI directly responsible individual, accountable for the success of each action item.
People need coaching to reach their full potential, especially at new roles. Deliberate practice is the most effective way to help people scale new learning curves. When trying new things, watch out for common psychological failure modes like impostor syndrome fearing being exposed as a fraud, even though in reality they are not and the Dunning-Kruger effect describing the confidence people experience as they move from being a novice to being an expert.
If you can set people up for success in the right roles and well-defined culture, then you can create the environment for 10x teams collectively achieving outsized impact to emerge. Build a moat shielding yourself from the competition around yourself and your organisation to create sustainable competitive super thinking pdf download free. Declutter Your Mind will teach you the habits, actions, and mindsets you can use to clean up the mental clutter that might be holding you back from being more focused and mindful in your daily life.
Guidelines is my eBook that summarises the main lessons from 33 of the best-selling self-help books in one place. It is the ultimate book summary; Available as a page ebook and minute audio book. Guidelines lists 31 rules or guidelines that you should follow to improve your productivity, become a better leader, do better in business, improve your health, succeed in life and become a happier person.
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Jun 15, · Read Online Download File Name: Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental blogger.com Languange Used: English File Size: 46,9 Mb Total Download: Download Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models or read Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models online books in PDF, EPUB and Mobi Format. Click Download or Read Online button to get Super Thinking: The . Let Super Thinking upgrade your brain with mental models! "You can't really know anything if you just remember isolated facts. If the facts don't hang together on . Jul 03, · Or, you can just read Super Thinking, a fun, illustrated guide to every mental model you could possibly need. How can mental models help you? Well, here are just a few examples • If you’ve ever been overwhelmed by a to-do list that’s grown too long, maybe you need the Eisenhower Decision Matrix to help you prioritize.
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